According to @AltcoinDaily, the crypto market’s 5-year cycle has shifted to a 6-year cycle, signaling a longer timeline for cycle-based models, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Nov 20, 2025. Traders who follow this cycle view would recalibrate entries, exits, and risk windows from five to six years to align timing strategies, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Nov 20, 2025. Time-based backtests and DCA schedules anchored to a 5-year cadence would be extended by roughly one year under this guidance, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Nov 20, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is correcting primarily because investors are selling based on the four-year cycle thesis and skepticism that 2026 will be a bull year, creating near-term supply from cycle non-believers (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Nov 14, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, he expects 2026 to deliver surprises and states the current crypto cycle is far from over, implying a longer-term bullish cycle outlook despite the present drawdown (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Nov 14, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, this frames the move as a correction within a continuing cycle rather than a cycle top, a context traders can use when deciding between buying dips or capitulating (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Nov 14, 2025).

According to @cas_abbe, traders should look beyond short-term prices and focus on three structural drivers: US crypto policy bottlenecks are clearing, institutional flows are material, and major Ethereum upgrades are progressing, together indicating a stronger market foundation than prior cycles; source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 14, 2025. For trading, this suggests prioritizing ETH exposure and monitoring catalysts tied to US policy headlines, allocation signals from institutions, and upcoming upgrade milestones rather than reacting to day-to-day volatility; source: @cas_abbe on X, Nov 14, 2025.

According to @milesdeutscher, he released a new video urging crypto traders to look past short-term price moves and refocus on the bigger picture, stating "2026 will be crazy" on Nov 14, 2025; source: x.com/milesdeutscher/status/1989323029776884196. According to @milesdeutscher, the post does not reference specific tokens, indicators, or price targets, framing it as a cycle-oriented reminder rather than a trade signal; source: x.com/milesdeutscher/status/1989323029776884196.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the four-year Bitcoin cycle does not exist and a peak will not occur during this period of the supposed cycle, shifting BTC trading focus toward macro drivers, source: X post on Nov 14, 2025 https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1989358914094420251. He states Bitcoin is correlated to macro conditions and that macro factors are more important than the halving cycle for BTC, guiding traders to prioritize macro regime analysis over cycle narratives, source: X post on Nov 14, 2025 https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1989358914094420251. He shares a video for deeper context behind this thesis for traders to review, source: YouTube https://youtu.be/Etzr7KuOolI.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the widely referenced Bitcoin BTC four-year halving cycle may be misleading, and he released a new video update to reassess whether the cycle still exists and what the setup into 2026 could mean for traders (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Nov 13, 2025, linking to a YouTube update). His post explicitly asks whether the 4-year cycle is still alive, whether it exists at all, and what 2026 might bring, signaling caution for cycle-based timing strategies and encouraging traders to review his analysis before positioning (source: Michaël van de Poppe on X, Nov 13, 2025).

According to Morgan Stanley strategists, crypto is in the fall season of Bitcoin's four-year cycle; source: Morgan Stanley strategists. They describe this phase as a period when institutional investors evaluate position strategies ahead of potential market shifts; source: Morgan Stanley strategists. For traders, this highlights a market environment driven by institutional positioning and timing around potential BTC cycle turning points; source: Morgan Stanley strategists.

According to @LexSokolin, he spoke with Jess Houlgrave, CEO of WalletConnect, about what will drive the next crypto cycle. source: Lex Sokolin on X, Nov 9, 2025. He reports that her prediction contradicts prevailing industry beliefs. source: Lex Sokolin on X, Nov 9, 2025. He adds that the driver she highlights is more fundamental than better technology or faster chains, directly addressing the core narrative for the upcoming market cycle. source: Lex Sokolin on X, Nov 9, 2025.

According to the source, Jan3 founder Samson Mow said the Bitcoin (BTC) bull run has not started and forecast the real climb will begin in 2026. Mow also said the advance could last a decade, describing a long-cycle outlook for BTC.

According to @CryptoMichNL, altcoin valuations are currently at the same levels as Q4 2019, indicating the crypto market is not at a cycle peak but in a mid-cycle phase; source: X post by @CryptoMichNL dated Oct 30, 2025. He adds that today’s setup resembles Q4 2016 or Q1 2020, framing the current environment as mid-cycle rather than late-stage; source: X post by @CryptoMichNL dated Oct 30, 2025. For trading, his assessment points to aligning positioning assumptions with continuation-friendly mid-cycle conditions and monitoring altcoin market cap against historical cycle levels, rather than assuming peak-exhaustion dynamics; source: X post by @CryptoMichNL dated Oct 30, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, claims that altcoins are dead often come from traders who later promote their coins aggressively after large gains, highlighting herd behavior as a poor timing tool, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 26, 2025. He advocates a contrarian strategy for traders: accumulate altcoins now and plan to sell when mainstream chatter peaks, using the barber discussion as a top signal and citing current gold hype as an example, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 26, 2025. The post provides no specific tokens, timelines, or price targets and is framed as a sentiment-based timing approach to position for a potential future altcoin run, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 26, 2025. This view relies on crowd sentiment rather than quantitative metrics, indicating an opinion-based trade thesis rather than data-driven guidance, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 26, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, altcoins are stuck in a constant grind with sideways price action and the broader bull phase has not started yet, making this the worst bull cycle so far; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 25, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, this characterization points to range-bound conditions where momentum is absent, keeping altcoin upside constrained until a decisive trend forms; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 25, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, traders who remain engaged through the consolidation phase are part of a select group, suggesting patience and disciplined risk management in a non-trending market; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 25, 2025.

According to @AltcoinGordon, BTC is in an accumulation phase and recent panic sellers may become buyers within a few months, implying a contrarian bias to accumulate during weakness (source: @AltcoinGordon on X, Oct 23, 2025). For traders, this view favors scaling into BTC on dips instead of capitulating, with positioning aimed at potential upside if the accumulation thesis plays out in the coming months (source: @AltcoinGordon on X, Oct 23, 2025).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Raoul Pal stated that the Bitcoin market cycle has shifted from four years to five years, with a projected BTC peak in Q2 2026, source: @AltcoinDaily, Oct 21, 2025 on X. This timeline suggests traders using halving-based models may need to extend cycle expectations, adjust position sizing, and plan exits closer to mid-2026, source: @AltcoinDaily, Oct 21, 2025 on X. The claim implies a longer runway for momentum and liquidity rotation across BTC and majors before a cycle top, which is relevant for timing risk management and profit-taking plans, source: @AltcoinDaily, Oct 21, 2025 on X.

According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, the crypto market has not yet peaked and altcoins have not completed their run, indicating further upside could remain on the table for traders. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, the traditional 4-year cycle is no longer active, suggesting past halving-based timing frameworks may be less reliable now. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, his trading guidance is to be patient, implying traders should avoid de-risking prematurely purely on cycle assumptions. According to @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 18, 2025, market participants should align positioning with a longer-duration outlook rather than expecting an immediate cycle top.

According to @CryptoKing4Ever, the shared chart outlines a cycle moving from FOMO to a panic zone and now into a rocket stage, implying trend acceleration after shakeouts; source: @CryptoKing4Ever on X, Oct 11, 2025. The author emphasizes that only holders reach the top, framing a strategy that prioritizes maintaining core exposure through volatility rather than capitulating during drawdowns; source: @CryptoKing4Ever on X, Oct 11, 2025. For trading, this framework supports aligning with confirmed momentum breakouts while managing downside risk to stay positioned for further upside, consistent with the author’s emphasis on patience and holding; source: @CryptoKing4Ever on X, Oct 11, 2025.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, BTC registered a pullback of just over 10% in the latest move, source: @MilkRoadDaily. According to @MilkRoadDaily, this drawdown is mild compared with prior market cycles that saw declines of up to 60%, source: @MilkRoadDaily. According to @MilkRoadDaily, they view the move as a blip in the long-term trend rather than a structural break, source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to @AltcoinGordon, current market dips should be treated as late-cycle buying opportunities while euphoria is a time to sell, targeting contrarian risk-reward edges; source: @AltcoinGordon. He stresses avoiding crowd-driven panic and timeline noise, positioning when others capitulate and exiting when consensus says it will never end; source: @AltcoinGordon. The trading takeaway is a contrarian framework: accumulate weakness, distribute strength, and prioritize discipline over emotion to capture volatility; source: @AltcoinGordon.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the percentage of HODLed BTC is now as high as it was at the start of the previous bull market, indicating strong long-term holding behavior by investors. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Sep 25, 2025. He adds that illiquid BTC supply is at multi-year highs, underscoring reduced sell-side availability from long-term holders. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Sep 25, 2025. He further notes that the share of BTC held on exchanges is at multi-year lows, pointing to diminished on-exchange balances. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Sep 25, 2025. Based on these three on-chain supply metrics, he asserts this posture aligns with the beginning of a market cycle rather than the end, offering a bullish early-cycle context for BTC traders. Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Sep 25, 2025.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, the altcoin season chart that only lights up in bull markets shows the ratio is back at the bottom of its historical range in 2025, implying the real altseason may not have started yet source: @MilkRoadDaily on X, Sep 19, 2025, https://x.com/MilkRoadDaily/status/1969106745600721241. They add that in the 2017 and 2021 cycles this ratio lit up in the middle to late phase, positioning today’s reading as early-cycle for altcoins source: @MilkRoadDaily on X, Sep 19, 2025, https://x.com/MilkRoadDaily/status/1969106745600721241. For traders, this suggests waiting for a sustained turn-up in the ratio before overweighting altcoins, aligning entries with the indicator’s bull-market confirmation described in the post source: @MilkRoadDaily on X, Sep 19, 2025, https://x.com/MilkRoadDaily/status/1969106745600721241.